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I say in the Note on page 60 of the Fragment on Medicine Improperly Abandoned original: "Fragment sur la Médecine mal-à-propos délaissée", price 15 sols, from the same Booksellers, or page 200 of the third Notebook.
My Art is purely a matter of calculation (1), a little higher than the probabilities of the learned Bernoulli, and
4, as one can see, had no closer correspondence with it than through 14, assuming that 14, which touches 5 here before wheel 4, was an invincible obstacle to the happiness of the Man, whose data would have been at 2 in order to possess at 5.
(1) Note well that in the depth of what I claim to be able to divine regarding what will happen, I can likewise foresee how one should operate to be guaranteed against a dynamic event, provided that the given movement is not on the point of producing the effect before the remedy is produced; and this Art of foresight, by indicating right paths, belongs to Divination by principle, and not to so-called natural Divination, or divination of internal and involuntary movement.
than many profound Calculators, who have not dared to cross the step of certainties, which, I confess, at first glance seemed to me to surpass human enlightenment; that is to say that,
Seeing all the events of life chained one to another; secondly, entering into the heart of Man, like brooks and rivers (from all sides) into that of the sea, and coming out of it mixed with other water to water other Lands; finally, thirdly, events succeeding one another and falling upon Man with the same harshness and the same movement as water dripping from icicles, etc. These different aspects seemed to me impossible to reconcile to the point of forming just numerical rules which would result in direct prognostics; and perhaps I would never have emerged from this kind of labyrinth if I had not had recourse to a very simple mechanism, such as I offer at the head of this Volume.